We didn’t make any changes to the Governor Line, as everything seems to be status quo for the moment. The big changes happened in the CD-7 Line. Here’s what happened…
The big change is that State Representative Morgan Carroll appears likely to get in the race. Carroll is well regarded by core groups of Democrats, such as organized labor and the Be the Change wing of the party, and if she can raise the money she is a dynamic enough candidate to stand out in a crowded field.
We’ve said before here that we thought former State Senator Ed Perlmutter could have trouble getting serious help when he starts picking up the phone for support, and it sounds like rumors are already flying. Here’s a good example of what we mean:
Some of you might remember the attack ads Congresswoman Marilyn Musgrave ran against Stan Matsunaka in both of the last two campaigns in CD-4. The ads carried the tagline “Real Coloradans Pay Their Taxes.” Those ads received a lot of criticism for the blatant racial overtones in how they depicted Matsunaka, but the tagline was based on an incident that relates to Perlmutter.
Prior to the 2002 election, Perlmutter suggested to Matsunaka that his small law firm merge with Perlmutter’s firm of Berenbaum, Weinkshienk & Eason. Matsunaka agreed, and as part of the deal Perlmutter’s firm agreed to assume various bills, including the business tax. Matsunaka forwarded those bills to Perlmutter, including final notices of the “pay now or a lien will be filed” variety, but despite promises the bill was never paid.
The subsequent lien gave Musgrave the issue that Matsunaka believes may have cost him that first election, if not the second. Matsunaka briefly referred to the Berenbaum incident in a 2002 newspaper article but was otherwise quiet about it. Perlmutter still could have saved his former fellow state senator by going to the press and taking the blame himself, but he didn’t. The merger never went through, either.
We’ve said before that Perlmutter is notorious for over-promising and under-delivering when it came to political help and fundraising for candidates. Will it come back to haunt him in his own race? It sounds like some of those folks are already starting to raise an eyebrow or two.
As for the other candidates making moves, Joanna Conti falls even further, while Jim Polsfut makes a slight rise. Conti falls because of word that top Democrats, such as Senate President Joan Fitz-Gerald, are asking her to drop out of the race. Conti has no hope of winning the seat in CD-7 and would only serve as a distraction, and a fundraising barrier, to other Democratic candidates. When the top leaders in your party are asking you to step aside, your candidacy isn’t off to a very good start. To her credit, Conti is making fundraising calls, though she’s telling potential donors that she’s running against Bob Beauprez.
As for Polsfut, he seems to be getting serious about a run and has announced the formation of an “exploratory committee,” which is Latin for “I’m running for congress but reserve the right to back out without being called a quitter.” However, it’s a long way from being serious to being competitive, and we’re unconvinced that Polsfut can pose a serious challenge in a Democratic primary.