We've adjusted the CD-7 Line to reflect Democrat Herb Rubenstein's chances after learning more about him and reading some of his bizarre positions.
Two weeks ago Rubenstein was an unknown entity who had an opportunity to enter the race as a wild card. Today, he's a guy with little apparent political experience who probably shouldn't be running for congress. Unless he petitions onto the ballot next spring, which will be a costly effort to undertake, we can't see Rubenstein even generating enough support at the Congressional Assembly to make it into the Democratic Primary (If Herb doesn't get 30% of the votes at the assembly, he can't get on the ballot without petitioning on. If he gets less than 10%, he's out of the race altogether).
Rubenstein should be a nonentity in this race from here on out, and we have adjusted the odds to reflect that position. We hope he stays in the race because he's been more entertaining than the other candidates already, but Rubenstein won't likely be competitive in CD-7.
Hey! Don't apologize to the poor guy. You've probably given his site more traffic than he ever had any right to expect.
Posted by: Stygius | June 13, 2005 at 07:41 PM
seeing Herb respond to this blog reminds me of the "West Wing" episode where Josh engages an internet blog.
at one point Josh exclaims, "It's like 'Lord Of the Flies' on there!"
seemed like a pretty good description...
Posted by: learnedhand | June 13, 2005 at 07:46 PM
Where does Polis live, and why isn't he included in any of these lines?
Posted by: thinkin | June 13, 2005 at 08:15 PM
Polis will likely be a 2nd CD candidate in 2008. I believe he was looking into running for a school board in Jeffco(?) for 2006, which I don't feel like tracking it down right now.
Herbie - alternative link:
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0400497/
God I wish I could add an image right now.
Posted by: peterco | June 13, 2005 at 09:41 PM
That could be the theme for Friday: Which kind of "ultimate" car would each candidate drive. BB, a BeeMer? Pashcall, a Lexus? (oh, wait, he really does drive that, doesn't he?) And Herb, well, you know...
Posted by: thinkin | June 13, 2005 at 09:57 PM
I second that - I couldn't resist the Love Bug reference.
Posted by: peterco | June 13, 2005 at 10:26 PM
Jared Polis is thought to be waiting to run for CD-2 in 2008. There's no indication that we've heard that he will run in CD-7, and a run for governor is not realistic.
Posted by: Alva Adams | June 13, 2005 at 11:17 PM
I know that I am late to the game here, but did anyone notice on Herb's website that he is a member of the World Future Society?
Is this some sort of "progressive" group my conservative self doesn't know about???
This is from their website - "Who belongs to the Society? Membership is open to anyone who would like to know more about what the future will hold."
Ok, so either we are all members or I am missing something. Does this group have anything to do with the Hall Bopp comet and castration?
Posted by: FUTURE SHOCK | June 16, 2005 at 03:50 PM
In the future we will have robot traffic cops, I can tell you that.
Posted by: Ter Ducken | June 16, 2005 at 04:06 PM